Long-form structural analysis
Reports synthesizing the research behind the index and dashboards — the framing, the mechanism, the regional map, the long-run trajectory, the pollution cycle, and the demographic divergence.
The survivability regime
Why the century settles into stratified outcomes — buffer zone versus chronic-risk envelope — rather than uniform collapse or restoration.
Heat and the human medium
Functional exposure — labor hours, cognition, learning, devices — as the binding loss long before physiological wet-bulb limits.
Regional outlook
Latin America, Sub-Saharan Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia and Eastern Europe — exposure, buffers and binding constraints.
The long-run outlook (to 3000)
Committed warming, the danger window, and why the Holocene envelope is not restored on any human-planning horizon.
The pollution cycle
Air, water, soil and food contamination as one connected loop — the most pervasive crisis on the index, and where prevention beats cleanup.
The great demographic divergence
An aging, shrinking Europe and East Asia against a young, tripling Sub-Saharan Africa — and why population and exposure rise together.